‘Ulysses’ nearing typhoon category, says Pagasa

Forecast track of severe tropical storm Ulysses issued by Pagasa at 8 a.m. on Wednesday, November 11, 2020. (Image from Pagasa)

MANILA, Philippines — Severe tropical storm Ulysses is already “nearing typhoon category” as it is forecast to reach its peak intensity prior to landfall, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) said Wednesday morning.

“Ulysses is forecast to intensify into a typhoon within the next 6 to 12 hours and reach its peak intensity of 130-155 km/h prior to landfall. Ulysses may slightly weaken as it crosses mainland Luzon due to frictional effects in the presence of the Sierra Madre and Zambales Mountain Ranges,” Pagasa said in its severe weather bulletin issued at 8 a.m.

“However, it is likely to remain a typhoon throughout its traverse,” Pagasa added.

At 7 a.m., the center of “Ulysses” was spotted 135 kilometers north-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes or 350 km east of Infanta, Quezon. It is moving westward at 20 kph, and has maximum sustained winds of 110 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 135 kph.

Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals

Pagasa warned that Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) No. 3 may be raised over several provinces in Bicol Region and eventually over Metro Manila and portions of Calabarzon and Central Luzon once “Ulysses” becomes a typhoon.

TCWS No. 2 is currently raised in Metro Manila and in the following areas in Luzon:

– central and southern portions of Quirino (Maddela, Cabarroguis, Aglipay, Nagtipunan)
– central and southern portions of Nueva Vizcaya (Kasibu, Bambang, Kayapa, Dupax Del Norte, Dupax Del Sur, Aritao, Santa Fe, Alfonso Castaneda)
– southern portion of Benguet (Bokod, Itogon, Tublay, La Trinidad, Sablan, Baguio City, Tuba)
– southern portion of La Union (Burgos, Naguilian, Bauang, Caba, Aringay, Tubao, Pugo, Santo Tomas, Rosario, Agoo)
– Pangasinan
– Zambales
– Bataan
– Tarlac
– Pampanga
– Nueva Ecija
– Aurora
– Bulacan
– Rizal
– Laguna
– Cavite
– Batangas
– Quezon including Polillo Islands
– Marinduque
– northern portion of Occidental Mindoro (Paluan, Abra de Ilog) including Lubang Island
– northern portion of Oriental Mindoro (Pola, Victoria, Naujan, Baco, Calapan City, San Teodoro, Puerto Galera)
– Camarines Norte
– Camarines Sur
– Albay
– Sorsogon
– Catanduanes
– Burias and Ticao Islands

TCWS No. 1 is raised in the following areas:

Luzon

– Isabela
– rest of Quirino
– rest of Nueva Vizcaya
– Kalinga
– Mountain Province
– Ifugao
– rest of Benguet
– Abra
– Ilocos Sur
– rest of La Union
– rest of Occidental Mindoro
– rest of Oriental Mindoro
– Romblon
– rest of Masbate

Visayas

– Northern Samar
– northern portion of Samar (Santo Nino, Almagro, Tagapul-An, Tarangnan, Calbayog City, Santa Margarita, Gandara, Pagsanghan, San Jorge, San Jose de Buan, Matuguinao)
– the northern portion of Eastern Samar (Maslog, Dolores, Oras, San Policarpo, Arteche, Jipapad)

According to Pagasa, areas under TCWS No. 2 will experience “damaging gale-force to storm-force winds,” while those under TCWS No. 1 will have “strong breeze to near gale conditions” throughout the passage of “Ulysses.”

Meanwhile in other areas, the rest of Northern Luzon will be experiencing strong breeze to gale-force winds due to the surge of the northeast monsoon.

Rainfall warning

Pagasa said that heavy to intense with at times torrential rains will be experienced over Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, and Catanduanes between this Wednesday morning and late afternoon.

Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains will be experienced over Albay, Sorsogon, Quezon including Polillo Islands, and Burias and Ticao Islands, while light to moderate with at times heavy rains will prevail in Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon and Visayas.

Between Wednesday late afternoon and Thursday early morning, heavy to intense with at times torrential rains are expected over Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Metro Manila, Calabarzon, Aurora, Bulacan, Pampanga, and Bataan.

Meanwhile, moderate to heavy with at times intense rains will be experienced over Cordillera Administrative Region, mainland Cagayan Valley, Catanduanes, Marinduque, the northern portion of Mindoro Provinces, and the rest of Central Luzon. The rest of Luzon and Visayas will have light to moderate with at times heavy rains.

“Flooding (including flashfloods), rain-induced landslides, and sediment-laden streamflows (i.e. lahar) may occur during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards and/or those that received significant antecedent rainfall,” Pagasa said.

Forecast track

Pagasa said “Ulysses” will move generally westward throughout the forecast period and pass over the seas north of Catanduanes between this Wednesday morning and afternoon and north of Camarines Provinces between Wednesday afternoon or evening.

“Due to the orientation of the track forecast, these provinces may fall within the inner rainbands or eyewall region of this storm during the passage,” the weather bureau added.

The center of “Ulysses” is forecast to make landfall over Polillo Islands and mainland Quezon between this Wednesday night and Thursday early morning. Afterwards, it will cross mainland Luzon and emerge over the western seaboard of Central Luzon between Thursday morning and afternoon.

EDV