OCTA: PH’s daily COVID-19 cases could dip to less than 2,000 by end-Nov

A healthcare worker conducts a swab test on a woman in Imus, Cavite. Image from OVP

MANILA, Philippines — The country’s new daily COVID-19 cases could decrease to just less than 2,000 by the end of November, OCTA Research said Wednesday.

According to OCTA Research fellow Guido David, the average of new COVID-19 cases decreased to 4,848 from October 20 to 26, down from the previous 6,909 average cases from October 13 to 19.

“The last time the 7-day average was this low was from March 12 to 18 when it was at 4,848. The reproduction number is 0.52. Based on current trends, the 7-day average of new cases could decrease to less than 2,000 by end of November,” David said over Twitter.

The 7-day average of new cases in the country decreased to 4848 (Oct 20 to 26). The last time cases were this low was March 12 to 18. Based on the current trends, cases could decrease to less than 2k by end of Nov. @dzbb @cnnphilippines @allangatus @dzrhnews @News5PH @DZAR1026 pic.twitter.com/qLN7O7RpuG

— Dr. Guido David (@iamguidodavid) October 26, 2021

The latest projection of OCTA Research is lower than the 6,000 cases per day it earlier expected for November.

According to the Department of Health (DOH), the country is now back to low risk status for COVID-19 outbreak after earlier suffering a surge of cases due to the Delta variant of the virus.

However, the DOH cautioned the public against complacency in following health protocols, noting that some hospitals are still full of patients.

“We are not saying we are out of the woods. We are not saying that we have totally decongested our hospitals,” Health Undersecretary Maria Rosario Vergeire said on Monday.

The country has 53,642 active cases of the viral disease as of Tuesday.

EDV