Octa: NCR positivity rate down to 7.4% but uptick possible soon
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MANILA. Philippines — The National Capital Region’s (NCR) COVID-19 positivity rate decreased to 7.4%, but an uptick in cases may happen soon, said independent pandemic monitor Octa Research Group on Thursday.
From 7.8% last November 8, Octa Research fellow Guido David said the NCR positivity rate went down to 7.4% as of November 15. However, he added that the region is still at “low risk.”
“The 7-day positivity rate for Covid in the NCR decreased slightly from 7.8% as of November 8, 2022, to 7.4% as of November 15. However, the slower rate of decrease indicates a plateauing of the trend,” said David in a Twitter post.
According to David, a 5% positivity rate is still possible if the downturn continues but it is still possible that the positivity rate will be above this level.
“There is also a possibility that an uptick may happen soon. We will have to see what happens over the next few weeks” David stated.
Article continues after this advertisementNCR positivity rate decreased from 7.8% to 7.4% but it could be plateauing. Less than 5% positivity rate looks less likely at this time and there is some possibility of an uptick in cases. We will have to observe the trend next week. #COVID19 @dzbb @DZAR1026 @dzrhnews @News5PH pic.twitter.com/NqxfzMJG13
— Dr. Guido David (@iamguidodavid) November 17, 2022
Meanwhile, David said NCR’s COVID-19 reproduction number increased from 0.83 on November 6 to 1.02 on November 13.
“A reproduction number below 1 indicates infections are trending downward,” David previously explained.
The Octa fellow also said that NCR’s weekly COVID-19 growth rate rose to 11% from -18%, adding that the increase is due to lower testing volume because of a “recent holiday”.
According to the Department of Health’s website, there have been 4,020,965 cases of COVID-19, with 18,824 still active. There has also been a total of 64,432 recorded deaths.
