Metro Manila COVID-19 cases still rising, but no peak yet | Inquirer News

Metro Manila COVID-19 cases still rising, but no peak yet

Metro Manila skyline at night. STORY: Metro Manila COVID-19 cases still rising, but no peak yet

Metro Manila skyline at night (INQUIRER FILE PHOTO / JILSON SECKLER TIU)

MANILA, Philippines — The number of COVID-19 cases in Metro Manila is still rising, but it has not yet reached its peak, Dr. Guido David, a fellow of independent monitor OCTA Research, said in a Twitter post on Monday.

An average of 1,033 additional cases per day was recorded in the capital region from July 18 to 24, keeping the area under a moderate risk classification, David said.

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He noted, however, that the figure reflects an increase from the seven-day average of 829 new infections logged from July 11 to 17.

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David also noted that the one-week growth rate in Metro Manila has remained relatively flat over three weeks.

In a message to INQUIRER.net, David said the COVID-19 growth rate of Metro Manila was 25 percent last week, 29 percent two weeks ago, and 24 percent three weeks ago.

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The growth rate refers to the increase in COVID-19 cases compared to the previous week.

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“This means that while cases continue to rise, the rate of increase is moderate,” he said.  “With a flat growth rate, it is not clear at this time when the peak in cases in NCR will occur.”

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The current reproduction number is 1.38 and the positivity rate is 14.1 percent.

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The positivity rate refers to the number of people who test positive for every 100 tests.

The reproduction number (r-naught) indicates how infectious a disease is. For instance, an r-naught of 1 means that each carrier can transmit the virus to one person, and the current r-naught of 1.38 means that each existing infection would cause more than one new infection.

David further detailed that the health care utilization rate in Metro Manila remained at a low 33.1 percent as of July 23, which is an uptick from the 30.7 percent reported last July 17.

On Sunday, the Department of Health recorded 3,657 new COVID-19 cases nationwide.

Among the fresh cases, 1,327 were accounted for in Metro Manila, followed by Cavite with 290 new infections.

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NCR positivity rate begins rising anew, says Octa

Daily COVID-19 cases may reach over 17,000 by end of July

TAGS:  Guido David, Metro Manila, OCTA Research

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