Metro Manila now at low risk for COVID-19 transmission – OCTA

Metro Manila skyline at night. As of Feb. 9, 2022, key coronavirus figures in the National Capital Region have gone down, according to Dr. Guido David, OCTA Research fellow. (INQUIRER FILE PHOTO / JILSON SECKLER TIU)

MANILA, Philippines — Metro Manila is now at low risk for COVID-19 transmission as its reproduction number and other key coronavirus figures have decreased recently, Dr. Guido David, an OCTA Research fellow, said in a Twitter post on Wednesday.

“As predicted two weeks ago, NCR improves to low risk as of February 9,” David said in his tweet.

By Wednesday, Metro Manila’s reproduction decreased from the previous week’s 0.41 to 0.25, its positivity rate from 15 percent to 9.1 percent, its average daily attack rate (ADAE) from 17.83 to 6.67.

ADAR refers to the average number of new COVID-19 cases per 100,000 individuals.

The seven-day average from Feb. 3 to 9 in Metro Manila (also referred to as the National Capital Region or NCR) was also much lower compared to last week, down from 2, 525 to 945 average cases.

As predicted two weeks ago, NCR improves to low risk as of February 9, 2022. The reproduction number in the NCR decreased to 0.25 while hospital utilization improved to 29.6%, less than 30%. The positivity rate decreased to 9.1% while the ADAR was 6.67. @dzbb @DZAR1026 @dzrhnews pic.twitter.com/VaOxwhgdbb

— Dr. Guido David (@iamguidodavid) February 9, 2022

Metro Manila is currently under Alert Level 2 until Feb. 15.

The Department of Health earlier recorded 3,651 new cases of COVID-19 nationwide, the second time the country recorded less than 5,000 cases since the latest surge caused by the Omicron variant.

Active COVID-19 cases nationwide are now down from 3,623,176 to 96,326.

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