OCTA: PH's COVID-19 cases may decrease to pre-Delta surge level by end-October | Inquirer News
Close  

OCTA: PH’s COVID-19 cases may decrease to pre-Delta surge level by end-October

/ 01:01 PM October 21, 2021
A multitude of people have been visiting the Manila Bay Dolomite Beach since its reopening to the public last week. Screengrab from YouTube / DENR

A multitude of people have been visiting the Manila Bay Dolomite Beach since its reopening to the public last week following the downgrading of the quarantine restrictions in NCR to Alert Level 3. Screengrab from YouTube / DENR

MANILA, Philippines — The number of new COVID-19 cases in the country is expected to decrease to the pre-Delta variant surge level by the end of October, OCTA Research said Thursday, citing the current seven-day average of new infections.

According to OCTA fellow Guido David, the current seven-day average of new cases in the entire country is 6,416, with a reproduction number of 0.55. He said this is the lowest seven-day average since late July.

ADVERTISEMENT

Meanwhile, the seven-day average of new cases in Metro Manila is 1,156, with a reproduction number of 0.47. Reproduction number is the average number of secondary infection cases from one patient.

“Based on current trends, the country is tracking at less than 5k new cases (7-day average) by end of October with less than 1k in the NCR. This means we expect numbers to return to pre-delta surge level by end of October,” said David.

On Wednesday, the Department of Health reported only 642 new COVID-19 cases in Metro Manila, and 3,656 new cases nationwide. The capital region now has 13,439 active cases of the disease while the entire country has 67,061 active coronavirus infections.

Health Undersecretary Maria Rosario Vergeire said that if the decline in COVID-19 cases continues, Metro Manila may be placed under the less restrictive alert level 2 “in the coming weeks.”

RELATED STORIES:

‘NCR Plus 8’ cases show downward trend–OCTA

NCR’s COVID-19 reproduction number lowest since May — OCTA

EDV

Subscribe to our daily newsletter

By providing an email address. I agree to the Terms of Use and acknowledge that I have read the Privacy Policy.

For more news about the novel coronavirus click here.
What you need to know about Coronavirus.
For more information on COVID-19, call the DOH Hotline: (02) 86517800 local 1149/1150.

The Inquirer Foundation supports our healthcare frontliners and is still accepting cash donations to be deposited at Banco de Oro (BDO) current account #007960018860 or donate through PayMaya using this link .

Read Next
Don't miss out on the latest news and information.

Subscribe to INQUIRER PLUS to get access to The Philippine Daily Inquirer & other 70+ titles, share up to 5 gadgets, listen to the news, download as early as 4am & share articles on social media. Call 896 6000.

TAGS:  Guido David, coronavirus Philippines, COVID-19, Delta variant, OCTA Research
For feedback, complaints, or inquiries, contact us.

Subscribe to our daily newsletter

By providing an email address. I agree to the Terms of Use and
acknowledge that I have read the Privacy Policy.



© Copyright 1997-2021 INQUIRER.net | All Rights Reserved

We use cookies to ensure you get the best experience on our website. By continuing, you are agreeing to our use of cookies. To find out more, please click this link.