2-3 cyclones expected to enter PAR in October

Rescuers paddle their boats along a flooded street in Manila on July 24, 2024, amid heavy rains brought by Typhoon Gaemi. Relentless rain drenched the northern Philippines on July 24, triggering flooding in Manila and landslides in mountainous regions as Typhoon Gaemi intensified the seasonal monsoon. (Photo by Ted ALJIBE / Agence France-Presse)

MANILA, Philippines — Two to three tropical cyclones are expected to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this October, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa).

Pagasa also reported that four to seven tropical cyclones may enter the PAR from October until the end of the year.

READ: Habagat, recent typhoons’ damage to agri estimated at over P800 million

“For October, we still expect two to three tropical cyclones, for November one or two, and December one or two. For October to December we expect four to seven [tropical cyclones],” Pagasa senior weather specialist Rusy Abastillas said during an online climate forum on Wednesday.

He also said the country may have zero to three tropical cyclones in the first quarter of 2025.

Nine tropical cyclones passed through the PAR so far this year — the last recorded by Pagasa was Tropical Depression Igme, which already exited the country’s boundary last September 21.

Based on the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council’s latest report, the combined effects of the southwest monsoon or habagat and tropical cyclone or depression Ferdie, Gener, Helen, and Igme have so far affected 1,473,487 individuals nationwide.