Less rainfall and warmer weather ahead--Australian weather bureau | Inquirer News

Less rainfall and warmer weather ahead–Australian weather bureau

/ 05:02 PM April 27, 2023

Australia weather

A person walks a footpath through a city park as the sun rises in Sydney, Australia, August 28, 2022. REUTERS FILE PHOTO

SYDNEY — Australia is set for a drier and warmer start to winter, with even odds for the El Nino weather pattern, the weather bureau said on Thursday, a reprieve after three years of wet and wild weather.

Australia endured a record third La Nina event last year, associated with wet weather, causing bumper crop production but also major floods and historic rainfall along the populous east coast.

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Rainfall over May to July is likely to be below the historic median for most of Australia, The Bureau of Meteorology said in a climate outlook that also tipped warmer weather over the period.

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The Tropical Pacific continues to warm and there is a 50% chance of El Nino later this year, the bureau said in a separate report on Wednesday. El Nino is associated with drier weather.

The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is neutral but may turn positive “in the coming months,” that forecast said. A positive IOD is associated with lower winter and spring rainfall across most of Australia.

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Long-range IOD forecasts made in Autumn have lower accuracy than those made at other times, the report cautioned.

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