FILE PHOTO: Colorized scanning electron micrograph of an apoptotic cell (greenish brown) heavily infected with SARS-COV-2 virus particles (pink), also known as novel coronavirus, isolated from a patient sample. Image captured and color-enhanced at the NIAID Integrated Research Facility (IRF) in Fort Detrick, Maryland. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, NIH/Handout via REUTERS.
MANILA, Philippines — The COVID-19 positivity rate in Metro Manila or the National Capital Region (NCR) declined to 8.9 percent last week from 10.7 percent the week before – the lowest 7-day ratio in the region since July 4, according to Octa Research fellow Guido David.
In a Twitter post on Friday, David said that if this trend continues, it would mean less than 100 new cases per day in Metro Manila before the end of November.
The region’s 10.7 percent positivity rate was from October 19-25 while the 8.9 percent was from October 27-November 2.
Positivity rate refers to the percentage at which people who get tested for COVID-19 are confirmed infected with the coronavirus.
NCR 7-day positivity rate decreased from 10.7% to 8.9%. Reproduction number down to 0.65, ADAR at 1.87 per 100k, HCUR at 27.8%. Current trends, if they continue, would project to less than 100 new cases per day in the NCR before November's end. #COVID19 #COVID @dzbb @DZAR1026 pic.twitter.com/7c6zXuXmm8
— Dr. Guido David (@iamguidodavid) November 4, 2022
“The 7-day positivity rate in the NCR decreased to just 8.9% as of November 2. This is the lowest 7-day positivity rate in the region since July 4, 2022,” he wrote on Twitter.
He likewise said that the “peak positivity rate in this current wave was at 19.1% on October 4” and that “reproduction number as of October 31 was 0.65, with a one week growth rate of -35%.”
David further noted that the 7-day average of new coronavirus cases in Metro Manila declined from 411 to 262 in the same period, for an average daily attack rate or ADAR of 1.87 per 100,000 population.
As for the region’s COVID healthcare utilization, the Octa Research fellow said it remained low at 27.8 percent. Similarly, David added, occupancy of intensive care units by coronavirus patients in Metro Manila was low at 21.6 percent in the last seven days.
The pandemic monitor earlier said that COVID-19 positivity rate for the entire country was at 10.9 as of November 3.
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