Batangas, Cavite, Laguna, Quezon from high risk to moderate risk for COVID-19 — OCTA

MANILA, Philippines — The provinces of Batangas, Cavite, Laguna and Quezon are now at moderate risk for COVID-19, Octa Research said Tuesday.

“NCR (National Capital Region), Batangas, Cavite, Laguna, Quezon and Rizal at moderate risk as of Jan 31, with new cases trending downward,” Octa Research fellow Guido David said on Twitter.

Metro Manila and Rizal retained its moderate risk classification while  Batangas, Cavite, Laguna, Quezon were downgraded from being high risk for COVID-19 late last week.

As of Monday, January 31, the positivity rate in Metro Manila is at 17 percent, 20 percent in Batangas, 31 percent in Cavite, and 21 percent in Laguna, according to a table posted by David.

The province of Quezon posted a positivity rate of 25 percent and eight percent in Rizal.

“The goal in NCR is to reduce [the] positivity rate below 10%,” David said.

The positivity rate refers to the percentage of people who would test positive among the total number of individuals tested for SARS-CoV 2, the virus which causes COVID-19.

Meanwhile, the growth rate in Metro Manila is at -62 percent and -48 percent in Batangas.

In the case of Cavite, the growth rate was recorded at -66 percent, Laguna at -62 percent, Quezon at -37 percent and Rizal at -65 percent.

The daily growth rate is the percentage increase in cases from the previous day, using the 7-day average of new cases.

The average daily attack rate (ADAR) in Metro Manila was posted at 19.58, 11.63 in Batangas, 16.12 in Cavite, 17.23 in Laguna, 7.43 in Quezon and 11.79 in Rizal.

The ADAR refers to the percentage of an at-risk population that is infected with the virus during a specific time period.

Meanwhile, the healthcare utilization rate for these provinces are all “low,” according to OCTA.

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