'Severe COVID outbreak' in Baguio, Iloilo City; Metro Manila risk classification downgraded -- OCTA | Inquirer News
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‘Severe COVID outbreak’ in Baguio, Iloilo City; Metro Manila risk classification downgraded — OCTA

/ 09:46 AM January 23, 2022

In this photo taken in July 2021, tourists tourists savor the refreshing scenery at  Burnham Park in Baguio City.  (NEIL CLARK ONGCHANGCO)

MANILA, Philippines — There is a “severe outbreak” of COVID-19 infections in Baguio City and Iloilo City, while Metro Manila was downgraded to “very high risk” classification, a fellow of the independent analytics group OCTA Research said on Sunday.

Citing data from the Department of Health (DOH), OCTA Research fellow Guido David said Iloilo City, Cebu City, and Lapu-Lapu had “new highs” in COVID-19 cases.

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 “Cebu City, Iloilo City and Lapu Lapu had new highs in cases reported by DOH on Jan 22. This moved Iloilo City to severe outbreak classification (with Baguio),” David posted on Twitter.

 Cebu City and Lapu Lapu City are under “very high risk” classification.

From January 16 to 22, Baguio City had an average daily attack rate (ADAR) of 152.39 while Iloilo had 82.38.

ADAR refers to the average number of new COVID-19 cases per 100,000 individuals.

Meanwhile, Baguio City and Iloilo City have a one-week COVID-19 growth rate 102 percent and 190 percent, respectively.

Baguio City logged a reproduction number of 2.81 while Iloilo City has 3.51 as of January 19, David pointed out.

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Iloilo City Hall

The reproduction number is the average number of individuals being infected by a one positive case. Ideal reproduction number must be less than one to indicate lesser COVID-19 transmission, according to health experts.

New COVID-19 infections in Baguio and Iloilo City stood at 435 and 577, respectively.

Metro Manila, on the other hand, deescalated from “severe outbreak” classification to “very high risk,” David said.

Metro Manila listed 6,646 new COVID-19 infections on January 22.

The capital region’s one-week growth rate and ADAR are -42 percent and 72.05, respectively. Its reproduction number is at 1.20.

 On Saturday, the country recorded 30,552 new COVID-19 cases, driving the overall case count to 3,387,524.

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TAGS: ADAR, Baguio, COVID-19, Iloilo City, Metro Manila, OCTA Research, reproduction number
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