MANILA, Philippines — Metro Manila is facing an “Omicron severe outbreak,” with the average daily attack rate (ADAR) of COVID-19 cases in the area recorded at 111.80, according to OCTA Research.
In a tweet Thursday, Octa Research fellow Dr. Guido David shared a table showing the number of new cases and the ADAR among highly-urbanized cities.
ADAR refers to the average number of new cases in a period out of every 100,000 individuals.
“Omicron Severe outbreak – NCR,” according to the table.
Situation in HUCs in the country. Severe outbreak – NCR. Mature – Baguio City, Angeles, Santiago. Accelerating – Naga City, Dagupan, Lucena, Olongapo, Iloilo City, Lapu Lapu. Early stage – CDO, Cebu City, Davao City. @dzbb @dzrhnews @allangatus @NewsRmn @News5PH @dwiz882 pic.twitter.com/NXWyIudUcL
— Dr. Guido David (@iamguidodavid) January 13, 2022
“In the NCR it is 111.80 new cases per day per 100k people,” David said in another tweet.
“An acceptable attack rate is below 10,” he added.
Other cities also at risk
Meanwhile, David said Baguio City, Angeles City and Santiago City are at the “mature stage.”
“Accelerating [stage] — Naga City, Dagupan, Lucena, Olongapo, Iloilo City, Lapu Lapu. Early stage — CDO, Cebu City, Davao City,” he added.
On Wednesday, the Philippines logged 32,246 more cases, pushing the country’s active tally to 208,164.
Of the currently sick, the Department of Health said the majority or 97.8 percent have mild or no symptoms.
Specifically, 197,091 people have mild symptoms, 6,435 have no symptoms (asymptomatic), 2,872 have moderate symptoms, and 1,468 have severe symptoms while 298 are considered critical cases.