Poe leads, Marcos rises in People Power week poll
Exactly two months to go before the 2016 elections, Senator Grace Poe led a Pulse Asia survey conducted during the week of the 30th anniversary of the People Power Revolution.
The survey, which was conducted from Feb. 16 to 27 and was commissioned by ABS-CBN, showed that Poe was picked by 25 percent of the respondents. In second place is Vice President Jejomar Binay who got 24 percent. Trailing behind them are Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte at 22 percent, administration bet Manuel “Mar” Roxas II at 19 percent and Senator Miriam Defensor Santiago at three percent.
Pulse Asia noted that the close numbers of Poe and Binay put them in a “statistical tie.”
“Virtually the same percentages of Filipino registered voters would elect either Senator Grace Poe (26%) or Vice-President Jejomar C. Binay (24%) as president if the May 2016 elections were held during the survey period,” pollster Pulse Asia said in its media release issued on Wednesday.
In terms of geographic area, Poe leads in Metro Manila (30 percent) and the rest of Luzon (32 percent) while Roxas continues to secure Visayas as his bailiwick (33 percent). Meanwhile, Duterte is the top pick of the Mindanao respondents (47 percent).
Poe and Binay also figured in a statistical tie in a Pulse Asia poll conducted between February 15 and 20.
Duterte leads in the Class ABC at 27 percent, while Poe is the top pick of respondents from Classes D and E.
The survey also explored various scenarios such as who would the respondents vote if their first choice candidate decides to quit the presidential race and who would they vote for if Poe decides not to continue her presidential bid.
Respondents said that should their first choice quit the race, 29 percent of the respondents will vote for Poe. She is followed by Binay at 22 percent and Roxas in third place at 15 percent.
In the scenario where it was assumed that Poe would quit the presidential race, 32 percent of her original voters said that they would instead vote for Binay.
The survey was conducted after the Comelec decided to dismiss all the disqualification cases filed against Duterte, but before the Supreme Court sided with Poe’s petition to dismiss the disqualification cases filed against her.
In the vice presidential race, Senator Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. and Senator Francis “Chiz” Escudero shared the lead with 26 percent. Administration bet Camarines Sur Representative Ma. Leonor “Leni” Robredo ranked third at 18 percent.
Trailing behind them are Alan Peter Cayetano at 13 percent, Senator Gringo Honasan at six percent and independent candidate Senator Antonio Trillanes IV at five percent.
Despite receiving backlash from defending his late father’s regime, Marcos is the top pick of respondents from Metro Manila (34 percent) and the rest of Luzon (33 percent). Robredo led in the Visayas (30 percent) and Cayetano is the most preferred choice of Mindanao respondents (24 percent).
Marcos has secured the lead in Classes ABC and D while Escudero is the top pick of respondents from Class E.
The survey was conducted during the People Power revolution’s 30th anniversary, where President Benigno Aquino III flat out criticized Marcos and shot down claims that the martial law was a “golden age” in Philippine history.
The survey had 5,200 registered voters between 18 years old and above, with biometrics, as respondents and has a ±1.4% error margin with a 95 percent confidence level. IDL