Legarda, UNA bets lead in SWS poll


Senator Loren Legarda. INQUIRER FILE PHOTO

Senator Loren Legarda of the Nationalist People’s Coalition (NPC) would take the top spot in the senatorial race if elections had been held between Nov. 29 and Dec. 3, a recent Social Weather Stations survey found.

The SWS November 2012 Pre-Election Survey, first published in BusinessWorld, found 68 percent of Filipino adults saying they would vote for Legarda, nine percentage points up from 57 percent in August.

Legarda dislodged independent candidate Sen. Chiz Escudero (61 percent), who had topped the previous quarter’s survey with 62 percent.

Thirteen candidates had a statistical chance of making it to the winning circle, with five candidates from the United Nationalist Alliance (UNA), two candidates each from the Nacionalista Party (NP) and NPC, and one candidate each from the Partido Demokratiko Pilipino-Lakas ng Bayan (PDP-Laban), Liberal Party-Nacionalista Party (LP-NP) and the Laban ng Demokratikong Pilipino (LDP).

Occupying the third, fourth and fifth spots were Sen. Alan Peter Cayetano (NP, 58 percent), former Las Piñas City Rep. Cynthia Villar (NP, 51 percent) and San Juan Rep. JV Ejercito-Estrada (UNA, 49 percent), respectively.

Tied at sixth to seventh places were Sen. Koko Pimentel (PDP Laban, 46 percent) and Cagayan Rep. Juan Ponce Enrile, Jr. (NPC, 46 percent).

In eighth place was Sen. Gringo Honasan (UNA, 43 percent), followed by Ma. Lourdes Nancy Binay (UNA, 41 percent) and former Sen. Juan Miguel Zubiri (UNA, 41 percent), who were tied between ninth and tenth place.

Last two spots


Considering the survey’s error margin of plus-or-minus 3 percentage points, three candidates had the chance to occupy the last two spots: Sen. Antonio Trillanes (LP-NP, 40 percent), former Sen. Richard Gordon (UNA, 37 percent) and Aurora Rep. Sonny Angara (LDP, 35 percent).

Barely making it to the list were former Sen. Jamby Madrigal (LP, 30 percent), former Sen. Ramon Magsaysay Jr. (LP, 29 percent), former Sen. Ernesto Maceda (UNA, 25 percent), Paolo Benigno “Bam” Aquino IV (LP, 24 percent) and Akbayan party-list member Risa Hontiveros (Akbayan, 21 percent).

The survey used face-to-face interviews with 1,200 respondents nationwide, who were made to choose from a list of 32 candidates.

Compared to the August survey, Villar had the biggest leap in the rankings, going up to fourth place with 51 percent, from between 10th to 11th place in the previous quarter’s survey with 34 percent.

Ejercito-Estrada and Pimentel also posted significant improvements from the previous quarter, when they tied at between eighth to ninth place with 38 percent.

Ranking slippage


Meanwhile, those who slipped from their previous rankings included Enrile (formerly in fourth place with 48 percent), as well as Honasan, Trillanes and Angara (who were all tied in fifth to seventh place with 40 percent).

Binay was not included in the previous survey.

The release of the SWS Pre-Election survey results coincided with that of Pulse Asia’s survey on Senatorial Preferences.

Although their methodologies are different, SWS and Pulse had similar candidates in their list of probable winners, with the exception of Gordon, who did not make it in the latter’s list.

Gordon placed between the 13th to 17th spot in the November Pulse Asia survey with 29.7 percent. Lawrence de Guzman, Inquirer Research

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Disclaimer: The comments uploaded on this site do not necessarily represent or reflect the views of management and owner of INQUIRER.net. We reserve the right to exclude comments that we deem to be inconsistent with our editorial standards.

  • John_Galt_II

    Hindi ako naniniwala dito! May nagka pera sa report na to!

  • EdgarEdgar

    Merry Christmas and A More Prosperous New Year to SWS & Pulse Asia. In the months leading up to May 2013 elections, you’ll be raking it in like never before. 

  • marcos_hitler_diktador_tuta

    UNA sa kurakutan!
    UNA din sa kadayaan!!!
    Biro niyo si Jack Enrile daw nasa 7th or 6th spot?
    Bayan, vote your conscience.
    Do not let surveys fool anyone. 

  • mabyrik

    The best candidate there is is B. Aquino-Achiever par excellence. Global Awardee for excellence in service, intreprenuership (TOYP, TOYM) and academics having topped Ateneo during his HS and college days.

    The w orst candidate is Jackie enrile for topping this country in bullying during martial when his father was its chief implementor and executioner. He has no achievement whatsoever except notoriety as the bully kid of the Philippines. he has a lot of explaining to do in the death of alfie anido.

    • indiosbravos2002

      No to both. No to Political Dynasties!

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/ECTPSPJMRJBWC2EW2BB2O7NNMM Maya

    Matatalo ang bets ni P-noy dahil sa 5,000 pesos lang na bonus sa government employees ngayong december.

    • indiosbravos2002

      Lekat. Dapat nga wala ngang bonus mga yan.

      • butchred

         Kung ganon, wala ng serbisyo publiko, wala na din mag aasikaso sa tulad mo!

      • indiosbravos2002

        Ikaw na rin sumagot serbisyo publiko. Hindi serbisyo para sa bonus. Tsaka tamad tamad ng mga nasa gobyerno. Pasalamat sila may bonus pa,

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/55XNXOYBNF6BG3EWOM5V4YMWXM Pedro


    • cherry bonghanoy

      Kung makapagsalita ka naman kala mo ang BANGO ng pangalan mo “PEDRO”???
      At kanino mo naman nalaman na peke nga itong survey na ito bakit dahil hindi ba pasok ang MANOK mo?? ahahah..
      Tsaka MANONG PEDRO wala na po tayong magagawa kung masyadong nakikilala si Congressman JV Ejercito at sino naman po ang nagsabi sa inyo na kaya lang siya umangat sa survey ay dahil sa TATAY niya better yet please check the track records na makapagsasabi kung ano yung MAGAGANDANG nagawa ni JV para sa ikakaganda ng SAN JUAN City na maaari din niyang gawin sa buong BANSA!

    • http://twitter.com/jackpottka jack pott

      i agree with Dick Gordon, he’s done a great job but are you sure about JV Ejercito? i bet you only said that cause JV is the SON of Erap at kay Erap ka galit so in turn you associate your anger with Erap’s son or other relatives. i also bet you did not base your opinion on his performance. as far as i can see, among all congressman, he is one of the greatest congressman currently with having passed the Kasambahay Bill, now he’s pushing thru with focusing on Youth education.

      dont you think JV Ejercito has done well enough?

  • indiosbravos2002

    This is alarming. Legards and UNA candidates n the lead. Estrada, Binay and Enrile all in the top 10. Anng klaseng senate to.?

  • cantonese

    Unbelievable they say but true and fair survey.

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/H5VADVWGTGBGCPHXV3E5ZTNEPA Darren

    Di na ko nagulat.Welldeserving naman si oren na maging number 1 compared sa iba,

  • rsanr

    this survey is a wake up call to all patriotic Filipinos na ayaw na nang mandarambong at kurakot sa kaban nang  bayan,  no to political dynasties, no to any  binay, estrada, enrile, angara atbp., gising bayan!

  • maraclarared

    Why not. Lately, Legarda has done many things like dun sa Kasambahay bill, FOI, yung about sa typhoon Pablo and etc. She really deserves the number 1 spot

    • sigelangbro

      Well, that’s true. IF you really into her records, you could really say that she hardworking. Even f she’s busy in the senate, she still makes a point to do her best in her advocacies. 

    • T_O_S_H_I_O

      tama.kaya sobrang bilib na bilib ako sa kakayanan niya

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/TP6YY66XPT63YFGHDKYTMIO4CM Daniel

    Ang “survey” na ito ay isa sa mga tuwirang panloloko at “mind-conditioning” sa mga botante……..Kung ang botohan ay gagawin ngayon, tiyak walang “TRAPOs” na lalabas!

    Mga estudyante at kabataan, nagtatanong!  Magkano?

    • Guest

      Akala n’yo productive na senador si Jinggoy Estrada, hindi ah. Credit
      grabber yan. Nangngopya lang mga bills filed few years back.

  • Memerazzi

    Congratulations sa mga politicians na naisama sa list na ito :) Buti nakapasok yung mga bet ko. -cayetano, legarda, pimentel. :)

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/TAFPTFROPTOLSBSKPYIRZGFRWQ Jennifer

    yehey!! >,< number 1 na naman yung idol kong si Loren Legarda :) Congratulations po ng madami! :)

  • sigelangbro

    I agree with the results of this survey. No one deserves the number one seat in the senate other than Legarda. If we talk about hardwork, then there no one I can think of that works hard as her. 

  • T_O_S_H_I_O

    Laging nasa ibabaw si madam Legarda sa mga survey a, congratz po! Iboboto ko pa din kayo next yir!

  • T_O_S_H_I_O

    Nung 90’s palang sinusuportahan ko na si madam senator Loren at happy ako na numero uno na naman siya sa survey. Lalong nabilib ako sa kanya nung pinagtanggol niya ang bansa natn dun sa waste dumping incident sa Subic. Ibanng klase talaga. Kudos to you senadora.

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/NQQNQZL74PMRTVKVW6ED2FD6NE Lito

    SWS is one of the most reliable survey group today. The results do look okay. LOren, Chiz and Alan Peter are the top 3 candidates in almost all surveys so this means this is right.

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/UPBI3ESYPHNYH72R3544I564UM Minnette

    sarbey pa lang naman to di ba.. tsaka matagal pa eleksyon..magbabago pa yan..

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/UAFA6EPWWU6IERLX5OT3USD3JU Angel

    I know who are the candidates that i will vote for come election time. I wouldnt base it on survey results. But im glad just the same that some of them are in there. Cayetano, Honasan, Trillanes – sure slots in May!

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/ZBCPCO2JKAPD2SB7WXAYZJJLNA Jing

    Well, survey results are indication for the candidates how they are faring to the voters as election nears. Legarda and Escudero are already winners. and other reelectionists, too, like Trillanes, Honasan, Cayetano. 

    • Guest

      May care daw si Jinggoy sa mga kasambahay, di totoo yan dahil yung mga
      house maids niya P1,500 lang salary one month. Delay pa yun ha.

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/P2DTZ2X7VCHEVWISBZNICIY2OA Andrea

    Trillanes should win! He is the only REAL voice in the Senate. 

    • butchred

      Whattttttt! REAL voice? What did he do to our country, he sold it to the Chinese. Read the papers, Andrea?

      • allyson_yan

        Hndi lahat ng mababasa mo sa dyaryo e factual, aminin mo man o hindi. Minsan ang source ay hindi reliable. Ergo we all should be critical thinkers. Analyze (and dont just believe at once) everythng u read. Minsan confusing kasi which is factual and which is just fictional

      • shyla_lim_shy

        Reading, understanding, and believing are three different things. Draw the line – that is a must for everyone.

  • Agata Baltazar

    @Andrea, gusto mo din pala si trillanes? malakas din sya dito sa amin sa cavite. kaya di ako ganong bilib sa sarbey na to. parang feeling ko may biased para mga kandidato ng una,…

  • Aleksander Boleslaw

    Like what i always say, surveys are just surveys. Sometimes they hit, sometimes they miss. So for the Filipino voters out there, just be wise, be informed, be intelligent voters this coming elections. 

  • David Fabian

    ang iboboto ay yung mga taong talagang nakakatulong sa bayan. numero uno dyan si trillanes! 

    • butchred

       WTF ano ba nagawa ni trillanes….ibenta ang Pilipinas sa mga chekwa?

      • allyson_yan

        As far as I know he was able to pass as much as 28 laws, and take note, half ng term nya incarcerated sya. O di ba bongga, sipag!

      • shyla_lim_shy

        Sold to the Chinese! Did he? according to whom? Enrile? Hahaha what a pathetic claim. Tsktsk

  • Jing Oreta

    Let’s enjoy the results til the next survey. Good indication but shouldnt be the sole tool to rely on.  Once campaign period sets in, there’s high probability that these survey results gonna change. 

  • allyson_yan

    I just hope credible ang surveys at hindi minanipulate.

  • shyla_lim_shy

    Personally, I have faith in candidates under the Nacionalista Party

  • Sophia Castro

    okay naman sa akin yung ibang pumasok sa survey… pero matagal pa ang eleksyon… magbabago pa yan…

  • Aiden Dela Cruz

    walang bago sa pagkakatanghal kay escudero at legarda bilang mga palagiang nangunguna sa survey. ang tanong, may nagagawa ba sila? 

  • Mikologne

    Madaming nagawa si Loren legarda, una sa lahat pinagtatanggol nya ang mga pilipina, ganun din ang mga kabataan pati na ang kalikasan natin. magtataka na lang ako kung bakit meron pang magrereklamo sa tranbaho nya kung lahat naman tayo ay nakikinabang sa mga trabaho nya.

  • Karen Mabini

    @google-81b7f5c8e2b09f11f029b272fb109420:disqus : Napaisip mo ako dun ahh. oo nga, sikat itong sina chiz at loren pero ano nga bang mga nagawa nila? 

  • Chicharot

    si loren ang nagbigay ng importansya sa ip, mga lumang kultura natin kaya tama lang na maging top 1 sya :)

  • BoyDakila

    Good job Loren! :) top 1 po kayo! salamat sa pagsuporta nyo po sa pagliligtas sa mga pawikan sa lugar namin bataan! :)

  • Chestosterone

    Congratulations Loren Legarda! you deserve to be on top of the survey!! Maraming salamat sa mga batas na ipinatupad nyo para maipagtanggol kaming mga babae :)

    • RaeDaphne

      You’re right! she’s been fighting to defend us women! :)

  • Gerald Bautista

    election is still 6 months away. survey results will still vary.

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/UPBI3ESYPHNYH72R3544I564UM Minnette

    matagal pa nga ang anim na buwan pero matagal na akong sigurado kay trillanes…cayetano…legarda…

  • Guest

    Kapag nagpri-preside nga ng Senate chamber, di siya mukhang senador.
    Mukha siyang barangay captain. Na-Amerika na lang siya pormal tingnan.

  • saan ang landas

    are you sure?another binay? c’mon! what are her qualifications? just because she’s the daughter of VP binay doesn’t mean that she is qualified to become a senator. i hope people would be wise with their choices in the coming election.

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/UPBI3ESYPHNYH72R3544I564UM Minnette

    hindi naman maiimluwensyahan ng mga sarbey sarbey kung pano boboto ang mga ordinaryong taong tulad ko… 

  • Agata Baltazar

    Alam mo minnette tama ka dyan. may mga pwede pang pumasok sa top 12 na wala naman sa survey… lalo na kung maging intense ang kampanya ng mga kandidatong ito..

  • Aleksander Boleslaw

    The reelectionists Legarda, Escudero, Cayetano, Trillanes, Honasan are sure wins already. 

  • sam_sy

    Trillanes, Cayetano, Pimentel. Going home to vote for them.

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